Wednesday, September 13, 2006

An Attempt to guess the LTTE’s new strategy for peace..

Why has the LTTE called for unconditional peace talks so suddenly whereas they were demanding that the Govt should withdraw its forces from Sampur for any peace talks, just a week back? It is not a difficult theory to understand that it is not easy for a rebel movement waging war against a state to call for peace talks when it is in a weak position.

To me it seems to be part of a larger plan to weaken the international community’s confidence on the Government as a genuine party to the peace process. The govt is confused and is struggling to respond to this unexpected call for peace talks. At a moment where the President has left the country to attend two important international meetings and with the Co-Chairs meeting around the corner it perhaps is/was the most appropriate time for the LTTE to call for the Govt to peace talks. The Govt seems to be in a militarily stronger position and it is difficult obviously for any warring party which has just tasted victory to say immediately ‘yes’ to peace talks. That’s why Rambukkuwela has responded strongly that there will be conditions on the govts part. The govts confusion is made evident in the recent press release that the peace secretariat put out on the matter saying that they are ready for peace but will have to negotiate the modalities and logistics of the peace talks. This is victory for the LTTE, as the international community is likely to ‘understand’ this as the govt’s unpreparedness for a negotiated settlement to the conflict. It is also positive propaganda for the LTTE which is largely portrayed as the party not interested in the peace talks. A very clever way to bring international pressure on the Government indeed.

3 comments:

Hansa said...
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Hansa said...

Grasp what on earth they find to save their ass is not an unusual phenomenon when we examine the history of the LTTE. Unless they did not switch in to these first-class tactical measures they would have not survived for 26 years. In that sense some what respect should be awarded to the LTTE for proving that the right decisions at proper stages would save any ass though how much illegal/cruel/brutal that ass is.

Happiness ran over across my every nerve when i heard that the LTTE put up the shutters on Mahavillaru Anicut. I was praying all the time that the LTTE will not re open it until the Government forces start their missions. ( provided that i understand the sufferings of the inhabitants in the area but YAY! the government will compensate them very soon)

Whatever the mind behind the LTTE's that particular decision, of course it made them to take part in unconditional peace talks which they thought would never happen in their career. Unless you are a pure noob[not to this blogger :-)], any fool can understand that it's not an other LTTE's volunteer open handed decision. They made it because all the other accessible options to save their ass had been closed at that time due to the Army's heavy military strikes. So it's explicit that the only method to pave their way to sit back in peace talks is neither the interrnational pressure nor send begging letter through our partial peace facilitators, It's to forcibly direct them towards the path to peace talks by using multi barreal rocket launchers and k-fir's.

Anyway i think the Internationl community is now well aware of the LTTE's ad hoc decisions on the peace arena and their usual walking outs...

ashanthi said...

interesting points. i think the govt is more disorganised than confused...